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Daily Batter vs. Pitcher Analysis for September 2
Tue, 02 Sep 2014 (by Philip Nacamuli)

Pitchers

My favorite pitcher of the day should be fairly obvious. I'll give you a hint. His initials are the same as the founder of a large American fashion house. Give up? It's Clayton Kershaw, of course! He is the biggest favorite of the day and really hasn't pitched a bad game since the All-Star break. I see no reason for him not to have a strong outing tonight so let's look for him to shut down Washington.

Some other pitchers I like are Adam Wainwright, Jake Arrieta and Wade Miley. Wainwright is really the only significant favorite of these three but I still like Arrieta because he has been pitching very well lately and I like Miley because, despite his struggles on the season, he's good a good matchup in an extreme pitcher's park tonight. I would only use Miley in GPPs though. There are much more reliable options for cash games tonight.

Hitters

Today's featured hitter is David Wright. His numbers against Brad Penny are very good as he is 12-20 (.600) against him with 4 HR and 10 RBI. He has not been hitting that well recently but I still think Wright has a good chance to do some damage tonight.

Some other notable hitters are Freddie Freeman (vs. Kyle Kendrick, 8-24 (.333), 1 HR, 6 RBI, 3 XBH), Mike Trout (vs. Brad Peacock, 3-8 (.375), 1 RBI, 2 XBH) and Jose Bautista (vs. Jeremy Hellickson, 8-26 (.308), 3 HR, 4 RBI, 5 XBH).

Today's value hitter is Marcell Ozuna. He will be facing Jonathon Niese today, who he is 4-7 (.571) against with 2 RBI and 1 XBH. The Marlins were able to capitalize on a bunch of errors commited by the Mets yesterday but I think they have a good shot of picking up a decent amount of hits tonight. Let's look for Ozuna to be a big contributor to that total.

Today's punt hitter is Alexi Amarista. He will be facing Wade Miley today, who he is 3-5 (.600) against with 1 XBH. I think Miley has a good chance to have a strong outing against the Padres today but let's still look for Amarista to get on base a few times and provide us with some great value.

Stacking options

My favorite stack of the day is the Angels. They are undoubtedly facing the worst pitcher of the day and are getting a huge park factor boost as well. That coupled with the fact that they are big favorites in a game with a large over/under is making them look like a really good play tonight.

Another team to focus is the Blue Jays. They too are facing a weak righty who has struggled on the year and I think they have a great chance to send a lot of balls over the fence today.

The Giants are also on my radar tonight. They are facing the Rockies in the game with the highest over/under of the day and are pretty big favorites as well. Both teams were able to put up a lot of runs yesterday so let's look for another high scoring affair tonight. Lastly, I'm going to throw the Braves left handers into the mix. They are facing Kyle Kendrick tonight and he has struggled with lefties quite a bit over his career. You should definitely be focusing bats like Freeman and Heyward but don't count out some of the righties like Upton because some of them have been playing pretty well lately.

[For more expansion on Philip's analysis for today, follow this link.]

Philip Nacamuli is a New Jersyan mathlete who lives, eats and breathes baseball. When he is not watching a Mets game he is usually sitting at his computer tinkering with his spreadsheets. After being part of the daily fantasy community for several years Phil decided that he would combine his love of math and baseball and his Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis was born! Since the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, Phil has been helping newcomers to the daily fantasy sports scene by posting his critically acclaimed Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis on Reddit and answering any questions that newcomers may have. You can find Phil on Twitter as @phillyCHEEEEEZ, on Reddit as /u/phillyCHEEEEEZ or at bars in the North-Central Jersey area proclaiming how this year is actually going to be the Mets' year.



Daily DraftKings Matchups: Monday, September 1
Mon, 01 Sep 2014 (by Bryan Curley of baseballprof.com)

Monday’s Optimal DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

C: Buster Posey (SF) @ F. Morales (COL) -- $5,200
1B: Hidden
2B: Hidden
3B: Pablo Sandoval (SF) @ F. Morales (COL) -- $4,100
SS: Matt Duffy (SF) @ F. Morales (COL) -- $1,900
OF: Hunter Pence (SF) @ F. Morales (COL) -- $5,100
OF: Angel Pagan (SF) @ F. Morales (COL) -- $4,500
OF: Lorenzo Cain (KC) vs. C. Lewis (TEX) -- $4,100
SP: Yordano Ventura (KC) vs. C. Lewis (TEX) -- $8,000
SP: Hidden

Monday's schedule presents an atypical layout of games with 4:00 pm EST the latest contest lock time. It also happens to be a shortened slate, so as we do every Monday this will be a late-game lineup -- that late game just happens to lock earlier than usual! On the mound, Ventura will face a weak Texas lineup that he held to 1 ER over 6 IP (23.30 points) his last time out. Ventura hasn't been the high-flying strikeout act we all expected, but he's been more reliable than we could have hoped for; he's consistently around 15-25 points with few blowups in the middle. While I'd like a little more upside for an $8K pitcher, I'll gladly trade that upside for security on a shortened day.

Today's lineup features a ton of Giants as San Francisco travels to Colorado to take on Franklin Morales. Posey and Pence are both over $5K, but Posey has averaged 15.6 points over his last 10 games and maintains that reputation for crushing lefties while Pence has averaged 11.7 points with three 19+ point efforts.

Sandoval and Pagan fall into the next tier of San Fran sluggers, both costing a little over $4.5K. Over his last four games, Sandoval has seven hits and seven runs scored with just two strikeouts, and Pagan has nine hits, four runs scored, and two steals over that same span.

Then there's Duffy, the $1.9K shortstop who often plays against LHP. While Duffy's power upside is limited -- he only has 12 HR in over 1,000 minor league at-bats -- it's hard to go wrong with such a cheap player getting the start at Colorado against Morales. We just have to make sure he's in there.

Because the rules state we must have players from other teams in our lineup, let's also make room for KC's Cain. Colby Lewis is an easy opponent to stack against, so siding with a bunch of Royals is a good Monday strategy as well, but Cain has averaged 9.0 points in his last 10 with four 12+ point games. For $4.1K, he presents a good high-upside buy in a great matchup.

More Best Values coming by 2:00 pm EST!

Baseball Professor is sabermetric-slanted fantasy baseball blog with fresh content updated daily. Their fantasy analysts provide you with everything you need to run your team on a daily basis, including their SP Matchup Ratings, Fantasy News and Notes, and a no-fluff daily podcast (or as they call it, a Profcast). Get the fantasy info you want at www.baseballprof.com.



Article 18 - Visual Memory, How Can a Team Change Its Historical Win Percent?
Sat, 30 Aug 2014 (by Clifton Neeley of baseballVMI.com)

This is the 18th in a series of articles on the Visual Memory Index©.
To read the entire series to-date, click here.

In July of 2001 I sent a letter to the Colorado Rockies entitled The Climate Control Theory. I told the Rockies that even though the ball movement was less in Coors Field and limited the Rockies hitters’ exposure to good ball movement for too long a period, there was a way they could create good movement for a while each day in a batting cage. Using this method would keep the visual memory fresh--and they would not even need to be exposed to any pitch other than the primary pitch in baseball – the four-seamer.

In September of 2001 Dan O’Dowd, GM of the Rockies, called me into Coors Field to talk about my proposal of a pressurized hitting cage. I met with an assistant to the GM, Jon Daniels (now GM of the Texas Rangers), and he seemed to play devil’s advocate with me. Later, privately, he told me the ball movement issues were well known to the Rockies, but I would need to develop this pressurized facility on my own and provide the Rockies with a cost estimate in order to move forward.

I completed the assignment for the Rockies within 60 days and revealed it to them through Dan O’Dowd. By mid-July of 2002, a Colorado company submitted a patent application on a facility that is able to contain both positive and negative pressure.

The pressurized facility can contain extremely high pressure, so the doors are able to contain airplane- type pressurization. The walls are strong enough to contain thousands of pounds, but it feels about the same as flying in an airplane and landing at sea level.

A team can rotate all the players through the batting cage in less than one hour and keep their visual memory sharp for more than one playing environment identified by the air density index (ADI). Most of their games and current batting cages use artificial light, so the lighting is something they are used to. The only unique aspect is the air pressure. The air pressure utilized in this batting cage is mild compared to hyperbaric pressurization.

This facility would be extremely useful to any baseball team needing to change from venue to venue across any elevation or temperature differential. Since 1940 the historical winning percentages of all the major leagues across the country and all the teams located at high altitude or hot climates match the MLB teams’ winning percentages. Major college teams, summer semi-pro leagues, the Little League World Series, and fast-pitch competitive teams are all subject to the same visual memory issues, and many of the higher altitude and hot climate colleges have given up on their baseball teams. The very best winning percentages over a 40-year period in the entire US have occurred in Alaska near sea level, and their visual memory is set to extremely good movement.

Any team desiring to match the over 60% winning percentage of the Alaska semi-pro teams would benefit from the pressurized hitting/pitching cages developed by that Colorado company.

The Colorado Rockies and the Texas Rangers are still pondering their individual dilemmas. . .

Visual Memory by Clifton Neeley, creator of the Visual Memory Index© and the web-site www.baseballvmi.com. Clifton pitched and played baseball and fast-pitch softball in the mountainous southwest Colorado area (from 4,000 feet in Grand Junction to 6,000 feet in Durango to 9,000 feet in Telluride) prior to his college experience in baseball.



Chu’s Choices for DraftKings on Friday, August 29
Fri, 29 Aug 2014 (by Scott Chu)

Pitching

When Felix Hernandez ($11,700) is on the mound, you should always be considering him for your team. He’s my #1 SP for today, and he’s not even the most expensive option. The Nationals aren’t particularly outstanding against RHP, so he’ll work his way on to at least one or two of my rosters.

Last week I said I’d stop promoting Josh Collmenter ($6,400), but I just can’t resist his charms. The Rockies slash a miserable .231 /.283/.361 away from Coors Field. They’ve also been absolutely terrorized by the Giants pitching staff, scoring just 5 runs in their last 4 games. Picking on the Rockies away from home this season has proved fruitful this year, and Collmenter is coming off one of his strongest starts of the season (8 IP, 0 ER, 0 BB, 8 K). Combine that with his bargain pricing, and you’ve got yourself a great 2nd starter.

Shelby Miller ($6,100) is another budget-friendly option who can really help you out today. Shelby has not exactly been lights out lately, but he has a chance to turn that around against the 2nd worst offense in baseball against RHP. To make matters worse for the Cubbies, their best slugger, Anthony Rizzo, has missed the last two games with back troubles and is unlikely to be 100% today. You’ve made worse gambles than this, I promise.

Remember how I also ragged on Dan Haren ($6,600) last week? Well, he gets the Padres this week. I won’t even quote stats. The Padres are the worst offense in baseball in virtually every statistical category. Haren himself has put up great starts in 3 of his last 4. Worth a look. But I stand by my position – he’s not actually very good. It’s just that the Padres are terrible.

Hitting

Baltimore Hitters –Trevor May is starting for the Minnesota Twins. He’s made 4 appearances, all this month. He’s got a line of 14.1 IP, 24 H, 14 ER, 13 BB, and 7 K. That’s horrendous. He’s potentially a guy to keep your eye on in the long term, but right now he seems completely overmatched by MLB hitting. Nelson Cruz ($4,900), Steve Pearce ($4,700), Nick Markakis ($4,100), and Caleb Joseph ($3,100) are the guys I’d target, and possibly Delmon Young $(3,500) if he’s in the lineup.

Detroit Lefties – Some guys continue to pop up over and over again when you’re looking for splits to take advantage of. Scott Carroll is one of those guys. I used to only know him for his hilarious “Scott Carroll will endorse ANYTHING” YouTube video, but now I know him for his .866 OPS allowed to LHH. The red-hot Victor Martinez ($5,300) is a great play, and Alex Avila ($3,300), who hit a game-winner in the matinee yesterday, is also a viable start. Carroll hasn’t been great against RHH either, so guys like J.D. Martinez ($4,500)and Torii Hunter ($4,400) are worth a look as well.

Other potential stacks include Milwaukee RHH, Arizona RHH, Atlanta RHH, and Toronto RHH. If I’m picking one, it’s Arizona, but Toronto is not far behind.

Scott Chu is just happy to have the chance to do this once a week. You can find him on Twitter as @DrChuseph, on Facebook at www.facebook.com/chuseph, shamelessly rooting for the Tigers, or playing video games in his apartment while listening to baseball.



Prospect Jorge Soler: What Should We Expect?
Thu, 28 Aug 2014 (by numberFire.com, twitter: @numberFire)


(Orig publ. date: August 27)

Hey, Chicago, save some super prospects for the rest of us. You know, wealth redistribution and all.

The Cubs have called up one of their top positional prospects (stop me if you've heard this before), Cuban outfielder Jorge Soler, to the big leagues. It's not enough they're already enjoying the mashing of infielder Javier Baez, the ridiculous production from first baseman Anthony Rizzo, and the promise of three future stars in center fielder/second baseman Arismendy Alcantara, third baseman Kris Bryant, and shortstop Addison Russell.

No, they have to go ahead and call up the man who many compare to a slightly less-fast Yasiel Puig to be their new right fielder for the last month of the season.

[click here to read the rest of the article on numberFire.com]



Roto Rants for August 27
Wed, 27 Aug 2014 (by Braden Horn, contributing on behalf of RotoRants)

Winning Wednesday’s Advice for MLB DFS. We have a full slate of games on tap for today with two being early and 13 starting at night. The two early games are the Cardinals (Wainwright) vs. Pirates (Locke) starting at 11:35 AM ET and the Rangers (Lewis) at the Mariners (Pitcher TBD). I honestly hate days like this, especially on Fanduel where our lineups would lock at 11:35 if we were to take the Ace of the day in Wainwright, but luckily for us we can afford not to take any players from these two games and focus on the night slate.

We have a great math-based algorithm that takes into effect the pitchers, batters, BvP, wOBA, right/left splits, past match-ups, and current streaks these players are on and gives us data to help us build that winning DFS lineup for the night. If you haven’t checked out our Premium Plays head on over to Rotorants.com or click here.

There are really 4 games that I would like to focus on tonight which have to deal with 8 pitchers that will leave an impact. The games are as follows:

LAD: Kershaw (15-3, 1.82 ERA) vs. ARI: Miley (7-9, 4.29 ERA)
ATL: Teheran (12-9, 2.96 ERA) vs. NYM: Wheeler (9-8, 3.65 ERA)
NYY: Greene (3-1, 3.17 ERA) vs. DET: Price (12-9, 3.00 ERA)
MIN: Hughes (14-8, 3.65 ERA) vs. KC: Ventura (10-9, 3.40 ERA)

As you can see we have some great matchups in these 4 prime-time games. First off we have Kershaw, who is probably going to win the CY Young yet again, facing off against Wade Miley, who historically gets beaten up against everyone. The once powerful Diamondbacks are without their power-hitting first basemen for the season and Kershaw has owned the D-Backs. Lifetime against them, Kershaw has held them to a .215 BA with 51 SO. It’s true that the Diamondbacks routed Kershaw fresh off the DL back in May and he only lasted 2 innings, but Kershaw will be the safest bet and be the most owned pitcher on the slate.

Then we have Shane Greene, who is only a GPP option for me tonight. He just faced this exact Detroit lineup on August 7th where he went 8 innings, giving up only 5 hits, 3 walks, while striking out 5, picking up the win and 17 FP on Fanduel. I think he’s a pretty good bet to have a good GPP outing. On the other side of the field will be none other than David Price. He faced the Yankees on August 5th going 8.2 IP, giving up 8 hits, striking out 10 batters, and getting 15.66 FP but no win. He’s going to cost you $11,300 on Fanduel but with the way the Yankees team has been heating up, I feel I would shy away from him as he will be heavily owned.

Both Teheran and Wheeler are good options as well. Back in July Teheran had back to back starts against the Mets where his first outing he went 7 IP, giving up only 4 hits, 3 walks, 5 Ks, 1 W, and 15 FP but only 6 days later against the same team, he lasted only 3.1 innings, giving up 11 hits, walking 2, only striking out 2 batters and getting only 0.33 FP on Fanduel. That’s why the MLB for DFS is such a funny game. Wheeler is strictly a GPP option for me as he has a tendency to get a high strikeout rate but also walking and ERs are the norm for him.

Then that leads me to the Minnesota/Royals game. The Royals are looking to obtain a playoff spot and have been hitting amazing lately, while the Twins are being themselves and striking out a ton. Phil Hughes has seemed to find resurgence in coming from the Yankees over to the Twins while going 14-8 this year so far. He tends to do great when the “experts” claim he will fall off, and then matchups he gets that are supposed to be easy, he struggles. The Royals are on fire as of late like I said earlier, but it’s these matchups that he will be under-owned and could be that spark for you to cash. Yordano Ventura is the dark horse that came out of nowhere for the Royals this year. He’s a hard-throwing strike-out pitcher and he’s facing the swing-happy Twins at home. I feel safe to tell you to use him in either cash-games or GPPS.

Stacking Options

Colby Lewis vs. Seattle- .312 BA

SEA STACK:
Austin Jackson
Kyle Seager
Robinson Cano
Dustin Ackley

Kyle Kendrick vs. Nationals- .298 BA- 14 HRS, 17 Doubles

WAS STACK:
Ian Desmond
Bryce Harper
Jayson Werth
Wilson Ramos

Wade Miley vs. Dodgers- .270 BA, 9 HRS, 12 Doubles

LAD STACK:
Scott Van Slyke
Yasiel Puig
Matt Kemp
Dee Gordon

Remember these are merely suggestions to help you, this isn’t a guarantee but our algorithm has over an 80% success rate and we work hard to bring you this. Other sites charge over $200 for algorithms like this and we have great feedback!

If you would like full DFS Lineups for that day, you’ll have to head on over to Roto Rants to check out our options. Think about it, you could turn $.99 into $2,000 playing the Fanduel MLB Squeeze using our Projected Lineups.

(Also please note, we do everything we can to update the lineup in case of scratches. If a scratch occurs late or you don't agree with a player, we've suggested using the players listed in the charts above to find a valuable replacement.)

Remember to hit the subscribe button and get the full articles to fast-track your way into the money! Good luck tonight and bring home the bacon.

Braden Horn has been writing fantasy sports for 5 years and daily fantasy sports for 3. He is a Yankees fanatic, and a Peyton Manning fan. When he’s not working his daily job, he can be found over at www.rotorants.com as the MLB/NFL Fanduel Premium Play writer, the MLB Content Manager at Roto Rants, and he also owns his own fantasy website called Fantasy Sports Guru where he gives his own take on Daily Fantasy Sports. He’s turned $500 into $5,000 playing DFS on Fanduel in 1 month and turned another $100 into $5,000 using the Premium Plays on Roto Rants. Be sure to check out his websites or email him any fantasy sports question at fantasysportsguru22@gmail.com.

Twitter: @FantasyAdvice22
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FantasySportsGuru22



Daily Batter vs. Pitcher Analysis for August 26
Tue, 26 Aug 2014 (by Philip Nacamuli)

Tonight's weather looks pretty good for all the games except for the one matchup between NYY/DET. The forecast for that area currently calls for a 60% chance of rain and thunderstorms so keep an eye on it to see if it improves/worsens.

Pitchers

My favorite pitcher of the day is Madison Bumgarner. He is the biggest favorite of the day and, despite his struggles at home this season, he is facing a team that is absolutely worthless on the road. I think he's got a great shot for a big game tonight.

Some other pitchers I like are Johnny Cueto and Tyson Ross. Both of them are also favored to win their games and have been pitching very well recently. I'm also going to throw James Paxton and Jimmy Nelson into the mix as punt plays today. Paxton is a huge favorite to win and it's entirely possible for Nelson to have a big game in San Diego today. Make sure to only them in GPPs today. Avoid them in cash games.

Hitters

Today's featured hitter is David Ortiz. He will be facing R.A Dickey today, who he is 6-18 (.333) against with 2 HR, 6 RBI and 4 XBH. He has also been absolutely tearing up the diamond recently as he is batting .486 over the past 14 days with 4 HR, 9 RBI and a wOBA of .618. Lock this guy in tonight because he's in the zone right now.

Some other notable hitters are Adrian Gonzalez (vs. Trevor Cahill, 11-24 (.458), 2 HR, 7 RBI, 5 XBH), Victor Martinez (vs. Brandon McCarthy, 9-24 (.375), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 6 XBH) and Dee Gordon (vs. Trevor Cahill, 4-9 (.444), 1 XBH).

Today's value hitter is Nate Freiman. He will be facing Dallas Keuchel today, who he is 5-8 (.625) against with 1 HR, 4 RBI and 3 XBH. According to Vegas the matchup between OAK/HOU is fairly even so I think the game could go either way. Let's look for Freiman to get on base a few times and help propel the Athletics offense tonight.

Today's punt hitter is Kevin Frandsen. The last few times I chose him as my punt play he ended up not starting. Let's hope tonight is different because he has some good numbers against Cole Hammels (4-9 (.444), 1 HR, 1 RBI, 3 XBH). In 19 plate appearances over the past 14 days he is also hitting .563 so let's hope he can continue that tonight if he gets the start.

Stacking options

One of my favorite stacks of the day is the Mariners lefties again. They are facing a righty who, despite having a strong start last time out, is pretty bad. I think the Mariners have a great shot of having a big game against the Rangers tonight so let's look for those lefties to do some work.

Cincinnati is also on my radar. Any time Travis Wood is facing a team with a bunch of dangerous righties you can't ignore stacking against him. His fly ball rate against RHB is astoundingly high and some of the righties on the Reds roster have more than enough power to send one over the fence.

The White Sox are also looking like a pretty good option as well. They are facing T.J. House tonight, who has really struggled against right handed bats in his first major league season. This makes Jose Abreu look like one of the best plays of the night so make sure you can fit him into your White Sox stack.

Lastly, the Blue Jays look pretty good against Rubby De La Rosa tonight. They were disappointing last night but you can't ignore the fact that they are the best hitting team against right handed pitching this season and are matched up against a pitcher who has had a rough go of it in his last few outings.

[For more expansion on Philip's analysis for today, follow this link.]

Philip Nacamuli is a New Jersyan mathlete who lives, eats and breathes baseball. When he is not watching a Mets game he is usually sitting at his computer tinkering with his spreadsheets. After being part of the daily fantasy community for several years Phil decided that he would combine his love of math and baseball and his Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis was born! Since the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, Phil has been helping newcomers to the daily fantasy sports scene by posting his critically acclaimed Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis on Reddit and answering any questions that newcomers may have. You can find Phil on Twitter as @phillyCHEEEEEZ, on Reddit as /u/phillyCHEEEEEZ or at bars in the North-Central Jersey area proclaiming how this year is actually going to be the Mets' year.



Daily DraftKings Matchups: Monday, August 25
Mon, 25 Aug 2014 (by Bryan Curley of baseballprof.com)

Monday’s Optimal DraftKings Lineup

Note: Lineup subject to change due to weather and released MLB lineups. Check back before contest lineups lock for our final lineup.

C: Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) @ E. Stults (SD) — $4,800
1B: Adam Lind (TOR) vs. C. Buchholz (BOS) — $3,100
2B: Rickie Weeks (MIL) @ E. Stults (SD) — $2,700
3B: Aramis Ramirez (MIL) @ E. Stults (SD) — $4,000
SS: Hidden
OF: Carlos Gomez (MIL) @ E. Stults (SD) — $5,000
OF: Khris Davis (MIL) @ E. Stults (SD) — $3,800
OF: Hidden
SP: James Shields (KC) vs. M. Pineda (NYY) — $8,600
SP: Hidden

Shields will face an average Yankees offense whose 7-4 win against the White Sox on Sunday snapped a 12 game streak of scoring five or fewer runs. This is not a challenging matchup. Shields himself has had a very good season as Kansas City’s anchor has posted a 3.03 FIP and 19.1 K% in his career against New York’s batters. Though he’s definitely unspectacular, Shields should be good for 18-25 points in this spot.

It’s the Brewers against a left-handed pitchers — time to load up on Milwaukee’s bats! You need to pay a premium for Lucroy and Gomez, but Weeks, Ramirez, and Davis can all be had at an affordable price, which will leave you with some money for either a premier slugger or a high-priced pitching staff. Surprisingly the Brewers have almost no experience against Stults, but he’s not nearly overpowering enough to worry me. I’m also not concerned with the ballpark enough to avoid stacking five Milwaukee batters.

Lind is still at a discount as he hasn’t really hit since getting activated last week, but a date with Clay Buchholz should correct that. The AL East foes have plenty of past experience with Lind slashing .348/.467/.587 in 46 at-bats.

Baseball Professor is sabermetric-slanted fantasy baseball blog with fresh content updated daily. Their fantasy analysts provide you with everything you need to run your team on a daily basis, including their SP Matchup Ratings, Fantasy News and Notes, and a no-fluff daily podcast (or as they call it, a Profcast). Get the fantasy info you want at www.baseballprof.com.



Article 17 - Visual Memory, When Retractable Roofs Close
Sat, 23 Aug 2014 (by Clifton Neeley of baseballVMI.com)

This is the 17th in a series of articles on the Visual Memory Index©.
To read the entire series to-date, click here.

The World Series in 2005 between the Chicago White Sox and the Houston Astros was interesting in that the Houston fans were none too happy when the Astros opened the retractable roof for games 3 & 4. In fact, many wondered if it had a negative impact on the game from the Astros’ perspective.

In 2001 in Arizona, Curt Schilling was none too happy when the Diamondbacks opened the retractable roof for some of the games he pitched, and he was vocal about the issue.

So, how does opening a retractable roof change the air resistance and therefore the game for each of the teams in the competition?

For a Game 7--unless, of course one team has a much faster pitcher--there would be no detrimental effect on either team since both teams would have played all six previous games in the same air resistance. However, for games 3 & 4, opening or closing a roof would have competitive consequences.

Since air resistance on ball movement is what gives the pitcher his primary ammunition against the hitter, then closing a stadium has an impact from a temperature and humidity perspective. The third ingredient in air density is the barometric pressure. Closing a retractable roof does not change the barometric pressure; pressure presses both downward and sideways, so any opening in the stadium walls such as doors and windows will allow the air pressure to equalize. Air pressure can equalize even through small cracks and seams in construction methods and materials, which is why air compressors are made of sealed steel containers.

DATE VISITOR HOME ELEVATION TEMP HUMIDITY AIR DENSITY INDEX (ADI)
10/12/2005 ASTROS CARDINALS 453 68 59 65
10/13/2005 ASTROS CARDINALS 453 67 53 65
10/15/2005 CARDINALS ASTROS 65 72 50 65
10/16/2005 CARDINALS ASTROS 65 72 50 65
10/17/2005 CARDINALS ASTROS 65 72 50 65
10/19/2005 ASTROS CARDINALS 453 72 47 64

So, in 2005 the Astros were adjusting to additional movement by approximately 1 full inch from their previous series in St. Louis & Houston at an air density index of 65 ADI, whereas Chicago was adjusting to only about 1/4 inch additional movement from their previous series in Anaheim at 66 to 68 ADI.

DATE VISITOR HOME ELEVATION TEMP HUMIDITY AIR DENSITY INDEX (ADI)
10/11/2005 ANGELS WHITESOX 607 61 74 66
10/12/2005 ANGELS WHITESOX 607 62 74 65
10/14/2005 WHITESOX ANGELS 157 89 22 61
10/15/2005 WHITESOX ANGELS 157 69 37 66
10/16/2005 WHITESOX ANGELS 157 64 39 68

The cold temperature for games 1 & 2 in Chicago definitely set the stage for the series sweep. All four games had a higher air density index (ADI) than the Astros were recently used to seeing.

DATE VISITOR HOME ELEVATION TEMP HUMIDITY AIR DENSITY INDEX (ADI)
10/22/2005 ASTROS WHITESOX 607 53 47 69
10/23/2005 ASTROS WHITESOX 607 45 63 71
10/25/2005 WHITESOX ASTROS 65 61 35 69
10/26/2005 WHITESOX ASTROS 65 65 54 67

If Houston had left the roof closed, temperatures would have been closer to 72 degrees and Chicago’s pitchers would have been challenged to get the ball by the home team Astros at an ADI of 65. By opening the stadium roof, the ADI moved to 69 – much closer to Chicago’s recent experience than to Houston’s. This action absolutely took Houston’s home team advantage away from them, as both teams’ VMI would have moved to a plus from a minus, creating a bigger challenge for both teams’ pitchers. Would it have changed the outcome? No one will ever know.

Visual Memory by Clifton Neeley, creator of the Visual Memory Index© and the web-site www.baseballvmi.com. Clifton pitched and played baseball and fast-pitch softball in the mountainous southwest Colorado area (from 4,000 feet in Grand Junction to 6,000 feet in Durango to 9,000 feet in Telluride) prior to his college experience in baseball.



Chu’s Choices for DraftKings on Friday, August 22
Fri, 22 Aug 2014 (by Scott Chu)

(**I have to personally apologize for this article being late and getting posted after the BAL@CHC game. Had some travel troubles.)

Pitching

My #1 guy is Felix Hernandez ($12,400), but it’s not by as much as you’d think. He’s nearly $2k more than Adam Wainwright ($9,700), and it’s hard to justify that difference.

One of those other options includes Doug Fister ($9,100). He missed all of April returning from an injury. Since the start of May, he’s given up more than 3 runs twice. He’s failed to go 6+ innings three times. While he’s never struck out more than 6 in any start this season, he also never walks anyone. He’s got a great matchup with the Giants, who rank in the bottom 10 in Ks and OPS against righties and the bottom 5 in BBs and XBHs against righties. I like him for 20+ points today against the Giants. He’s remarkably consistent.

A more budget-friendly option is Hector Santiago ($6,500) against the slumping Oakland A’s. Don’t let this match-up scare you too much, since Oakland has been having a terribly month. They’re slashing just .226/.303/.347 this month, and have lost 8 of their last 10 games, scoring more than 3 runs just once in that span (they scored 5 last night and still lost). Santiago has faced off with the A’s twice this season already, throwing 13 innings and 11 Ks while allowing just 1 ER. He’s also been good in his last 2 starts, tossing 12 innings with just 1 ER and 10 Ks. I’d say he’s got a really good chance for a QS and 4-6 Ks in cavernous O.co Coliseum, which is a great return on his low price I was tempted to pick Mike Minor, Dan Haren, and Josh Collmenter for their favorable match-ups and prices today, but you know what? I’m sick of getting burned by pitchers who aren’t very good. If you’re streaming in a season-long league and need to gamble, go for it, but if you’ve only got money in for today at a DFS site, go find someone who might actually help you win money. These guys are too inconsistent with too low of floors and not high enough ceilings to justify spending your hard earned money on.

Other guys I like include (from $$$ to $): Mat Latos ($8,700), Yovani Gallardo ($8,100), Drew Smyly ($7,700), Yordano Ventura ($7,100), and Carlos Carrasco ($6,600). If I had to pick one, it’d be Ventura, the young Royals fireballer against an awful Rangers lineup. Best combo of price and potential.

Hitting

Miami Righties – Last Friday I wanted to pick on Franklin Morales, and then he didn’t end up pitching. This Friday, I get a second chance. He’s terrible against RHH, who have a .929 OPS against him this season. Giancarlo Stanton ($5,700) is expensive, but he’ll be widely owned for his 1.086 OPS against LHP. He’s could explode in this game. More affordable bats include outfielder Marcel Ozuna ($4,200), back-up catcher Jeff Mathis ($2,300) (make sure he’s starting, first), and the 3B/SS Adeiny Hechavarria ($3,300).

Royals Lefties – As bad as Morales has been against righties, Colby Lewis has been worse against lefties (.952 OPS against). Alex Gordon ($5,000) and Jarrod Dyson ($3,600) are the obvious choices, but feel free to work in any of the affordable and plentiful lefty bats in the Royals lineup. This game is in Arlington, so the ball has a chance to leave the park at any time.

Other potential stacks include Yankee RHH, Indians LHH, Twins RHH, and Tigers RHH. If I had to pick one, it’s the Indians, and I didn’t have to think too hard about it.

Scott Chu is just happy to have the chance to do this once a week. You can find him on Twitter as @DrChuseph, on Facebook at www.facebook.com/chuseph, shamelessly rooting for the Tigers, or playing video games in his apartment while listening to baseball.



LineupRaw: Favorite picks for August 21
Thu, 21 Aug 2014 (by LineupRaw.com)

Premium Pitching

Corey Kluber is our top selection of the day. Kluber’s last 3 away game has been averaging 10K’s per 9 and only allowing 2 Earned Runs. The Twins have the 8th worst strikeout rate VS RHP. Kluber is worth the money and will get 8 plus K’s vs Twins. Kluber picks up the win, Start him!

Hitting

Atlanta Braves: Evan Gattis, Justin Upton, and Chris Johnson should ALL be in your lineups. The Braves are red hot over the past 7 days, Gattis is hitting lefties .414/.433/.741.

LA Angels: Rubby De La Rosa is getting drilled by lefties this year, .284/.347/.477, Calhoun should be in a few of your lineups.

MLB free 2star** PLAY OF THE DAY* Under 9 NYY vs HOU

Notable BVP today
Chris Carter vs B. McCarthy (2-3/2HR’s/2RBI’s)
Chris Dickerson vs P. Hughes (2-2 /2HR’s/2RBI’s)
Anthony Rendon vs W. Miley (5-6/1 2B/1.000SLG)
Starlin Castro vs M. Bumgarner (10-24/1 2B/.417AVG)

Fanduel option 1* 1:05PM Start
P C. Kluber
C E. Gattis
1B M. Morse
2B J. Baez
3B C. Johnson
SS E. Aybar
OF J. Upton
OF K. Calhoun
OF J. Hamilton

LineupRaw: We do the research so you don't have to!



Roto Rants for August 20
Wed, 20 Aug 2014 (by Zach Harbison, contributing on behalf of RotoRants)

Winning cash Wednesday! Lots of options and lots of contests to make money off of on the split schedule. Today means we have lots of options on the type of games we play- full day, early, late, midday! Let our algorithm help you. I’ll be giving you a preview from our algorithm’s suggestions. For a full analysis and viewing of the top plays, visit the Premium Plays section at RotoRants.com by clicking here.

Dog days of Summer- Day Slate:

You’re going to pay! And you need to for the morning slate. DFS is all about anchoring your team with top projected players, and finding value in players you expect to perform higher than their salary. That is exactly what our algorithm does. However, sometimes it still projects a player to perform well, but under their salary. Today happens to be one of those days. While the A’s Samardzija presents a slight value in the number two spot, our top ranked player is going to make you pay! Cole Hamels comes in as the mornings top priced player, but also comes in at a negative value. He’s not alone as Stanton, Bautista, Encarnacion, and Yelich all clock in as top 10 projected hitters, but are projected to under-perform their salary.

Still- you have to pay up! There is a reason why certain players hold those price tags and our top rated pitcher and hitter are worth it. Why?! Well, Hamels comes in with a cool 2.44 ERA and has pitched 7 innings in each of his last seven starts. Plus, he’s provided at least 5 K’s and as many as 10 in a game over that time. Hamels has held this Mariners lineup to a .275 batting average with only allowing 14 hits in 51 at bats. No Smoak, Bloomquist, or Hart (who have all registered hits against Hamels) and the Mariners struggling add up for a pretty good situation for Hamels. Yes, there’s a tough pitcher on the other mound, but Vegas likes the Phillies as a slight favorite in a low scoring game!

As for hitting, Giancarlo Stanton comes in first and is projected for more points than half of the pitchers! Shouldn’t be surprising as every homerun he hits goes 5,000 feet! Now he faces a young, struggling pitcher in Nick Martinez. Martinez has a 5.27 ERA, has given up 25 hits over his last four games, and has given up a home run in three of his last four games. Stanton, however, has been hitting .409 this past week, has a five game hitting streak, and is always hungry to improve on his 32 homers so far this season. You’re going to have to pay, but he’s worth it.

How about a bonus cheap play for a little more taste before you head over to RotoRants.com and check out our Premium Plays- Gerardo Parra provides great value with a $3,000 salary on DraftKings.

A Hard Day’s Night

There is relief in sight! While the day was all about paying up, the night offers you some options. No, don’t worry about squinting and hoping they pay off, there are some legitimate plays everywhere that our algorithm likes for cheap. We will look at a few, but be sure to check out RotoRants.com for the rest!

Pitching has some great choices to look at- Garrett Richards and Johnny Cueto have been studs and are worth fitting in if you can. Our algorithm likes someone else as the biggest value more though, and that someone is Tanner Roark. Roark doesn’t have much experience against the Diamondbacks, but what he does has been stellar. In his seven at bats, the D-Backs failed to register a hit. That’s not enough to go on though, so why does our algorithm like him so much? Well, his under 3 ERA helps. Against a team that strikes out a lot, you love to see a pitcher like Roark who is registering nearly 5 K’s per game. In their last 10 games, the D-Backs are 3-7, and tonight should be no different as Vegas likes Roark as a -190 favorite to lock in a win.

Bats can be cheap too, and one of our top ranked batters tonight comes from a position that can be difficult to fill, catcher. Mr. Yan Gomes clocks in as our top rated value for the night, and as one of the top projected batters. In his four plate appearances against Nolasco, Gomes has went 2 for 4 with both hits being long balls. Gomes is hitting at his season average this past week, batting .286, and has hits in seven of his last ten. You can bet he’s excited to get Nolasco on the mound and our algorithm likes his success in this matchup to continue! Get him while he’s cheap.

The Stack

Breakfast should be served up with a full helping of Marlins! Sure, not the sexiest of stacks, but if you’re looking for that than go with the Brewers. However, the Marlins get a roughed up pitcher at home during the day. Vegas likes them at a -161 favorite in an 8 run line.

You could portion out your dinner in a few mini-stacks, but one big helping of the Royals wouldn’t hurt either. They are facing De La Rosa at the favorable Coors field in a 9.5 run line game. This is the highest projected game, and it wouldn’t hurt to throw a few Rockies in your meal too!

Zach Harbison is a fantasy sports nut and full-time DFS player. He is also the Marketing Director at the new DFS site, RotoPop, helping grow the DFS offerings with a new twist. He has been a player, coach, scout, and writer in the sports community. You can ask him any questions @onceharby and find his writing at RotoRants, TheFakeBaseball, numberFire, and more. He lives for figuring out the best ways to help the fantasy sports community grow.



Daily Batter vs. Pitcher Analysis for August 19
Tue, 19 Aug 2014 (by Philip Nacamuli)

It's my favorite day of the week for MLB daily fantasy. Why? Because the games on Tuesdays always start at night, which means that the variance in the lineups is the largest it can be since the contests tonight include all the games. Plus, we've got all day to do research and make sure we can find the best possible plays.

The weather also looks good across the board. There are a few forecasts that call for a small chance of rain and scattered thunderstorms before the game in that area begins, but in all of those cases it looks like it should clear up and not cause any issues.

Pitchers

My favorite starter of the day is Stephen Strasburg. He's coming of a very strong start and is a big favorite to win. Let's not also forget to mention that his numbers against Arizona over his career are phenomenal. Let's look for him to go really big tonight.

Some other pitchers I like today are Scott Kazmir, Max Scherzer and Hisashi Iwakuma. Scherzer and Iwakuma have been pitching extremely well lately while Kazmir is another huge favorite to win today. I've got a feeling each of them are going to have strong outings today.

Hitters

Today's featured hitter is Justin Morneau. He will be battling against James Shields today, who he is 15-44 (.341) against with 4 HR, 11 RBI and 10 XBH. Morneau is also batting .459 over the past 14 days so I suggest you starting playing this guy before he slows down.

Some other notable hitters are Mike Napoli (vs. Jered Weaver, 10-29 (.345), 3 HR, 3 RBI, 5 XBH), Adrian Beltre (vs. Jarred Cosart, 4-6 (.667), 2 HR, 4 RBI, 4 XBH) and Starling Marte (vs. Aaron Harang, 2-5 (.400)).

Today's value hitter is Rickie Weeks. He will be facing off against J.A. Happ today, who he is 8-17 (.471) against with 2 HR, 3 RBI and 5 XBH. I have a feeling the Brewers are in store for a big game tonight so let's look for Weeks to be a big contributor to their offense.

Today's punt hitter is Andre Ethier. He will be facing Ian Kennedy today, who he is 11-34 (.324) against with 2 HR, 5 RBI and 4 XBH). The matchup between SD/LAD is looking pretty even right now so I think the game could go either way. Let's hope Ethier can get on base a few times tonight and give the Dodgers offense a nice boost.

Stacking options

My main focus is going to be on the TOR/MIL game today. The Brewers are facing a lefty who struggles against right handed bats. No brainer. On the other hand, Fiers had a phenomenal start his last outing, but I'm not convinced he can repeat that performance again tonight. I think the Blue Jays bats will get to him tonight.

Another focus is mine is going to be the Angels. It seems like they get a good matchup every single night and I see no reason why I shouldn't be playing them. They are also facing a pitcher with an alarmingly high walk ratio so let's look for plenty of base runners in that matchup for the Angels.

Lastly, I like the Royals right handers tonight. They are facing a lefty who has struggled on the season and they are one of the hottest teams in the league right now. Let's look for them to go real big in Colorado tonight.

[For more expansion on Philip's analysis for today, follow this link.]

Philip Nacamuli is a New Jersyan mathlete who lives, eats and breathes baseball. When he is not watching a Mets game he is usually sitting at his computer tinkering with his spreadsheets. After being part of the daily fantasy community for several years Phil decided that he would combine his love of math and baseball and his Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis was born! Since the beginning of the 2014 MLB season, Phil has been helping newcomers to the daily fantasy sports scene by posting his critically acclaimed Daily Batter vs. Pitcher and Last 14 Days Analysis on Reddit and answering any questions that newcomers may have. You can find Phil on Twitter as @phillyCHEEEEEZ, on Reddit as /u/phillyCHEEEEEZ or at bars in the North-Central Jersey area proclaiming how this year is actually going to be the Mets' year.



The Kansas City Royals' Offense Is Fueling Their Hot Streak
Mon, 18 Aug 2014 (by numberFire.com, twitter: @numberFire)


(Orig publ. date: August 15)

Uh, some things are happening with the Royals right now.

Yes, there are big doings afoot in Kansas City, where our new Royal overlords just took three of four games from the best team in baseball, the Oakland Athletics. They've won 18 of their last 22 games, and they're in first place by a half game in the AL Central over the heavily-favored Detroit Tigers.

The Royals appear to have a good shot at sustaining this hot streak, thanks to a favorable schedule the rest of the way. Oakland was the last team Kansas City will face this season that currently has a better record than them, and they are about to embark on a nine-game road trip that will take them through Minnesota, Colorado and Texas. Not exactly a murderer's row.

[click here to read the rest of the article on numberFire.com]



No One Can Cool Down Mike Fiers
Sun, 17 Aug 2014 (by numberFire.com, twitter: @numberFire)


(Orig publ. date: August 15)

After being up and down from the minors throughout the past four seasons, Mike Fiers is starting to show that he belongs at the big league level. He was given a chance earlier in the season, but was sent back down to Nashville 15 days after he was called up. During that span, he went seven innings and allowed two runs while striking out four and walking three. Each of those four outings came late in games, and he held down the fort in each outing, except one where he went four innings and took the loss in a 16-inning battle against the Nationals.

[click here to read the rest of the article on numberFire.com]




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