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As many of you already know from having read "Baseball Unraveled" by Clifton Neeley--Basketball is also affected by air resistance.
Since the NBA season is right around the corner, VMI is introducing "BasketballVMI." Within a few days of the opening of the regular NBA Season in 2018, we should be able to present the schedule ahead of game time and track the ADI and VMI for all the teams.
What will be the "Real World" focus for Basketball as it relates to NBA teams?
For Basketball, the issue is not the trajectory, but the distance of flight of the three point shot. Most everyone knows that golf balls, footballs, and other projectiles fly further in higher altitude locations than at sea level venues. Taking this concept a step further, we know that every venue between high altitudes and sea level, such as Oklahoma, Arizona, Atlanta, Texas, Minnesota and others are affected by air resistance differently. Can this be affecting 3 point shooting around the league when teams transition between those venues? How does good or bad 3 point shooting affect the other aspects of the game, such as rebounding and put-backs?
For the three point shot, the sensitive touch of the shooter is highly affected if what the shooter sees and muscle memory remembers as the amount of wrist and finger snap changes due to air resistance either holding the ball back a few inches, or freeing the ball to fly further than he/she is used to.
Since most, if not all, NBA and College basketball is played indoors, then temperature and humidity are not significant factors under normal playing conditions. However, "Actual" barometric pressure is a significant factor verified by Dr. Robert Adair, Professor Emeritus in Physics and author of The Physics of Baseball, Yale University.
We at Air Resistance Technologies will present for you a VMI based on a formula by Clifton Neeley which identifies when a team of players will be used to a shot flying 1 to 6 inches further or shorter than they are used to feeling and therefore affecting the overall shooting percentages, rebounding opportunities and put-back opportunities.
For announcements of future developments, visit www.BasketballVMI.com or dailyhoopsdata.com
Playoffs? Don't talk about playoffs. You kiddin' me? Playoffs?
Sat, 29 Sep 2018 (by RotoGuru)
Yes, I know the title quote relates to football, not baseball. But it is a classic.
DailyBaseballData.com will continue to offer all usual reports and data throughout the MLB playoffs. Having said that, this blurb space will probably be much less active. With football and hoops both taking center stage, I don't think there's a need for blurbs.
The final Friday of the regular season - I can't believe we're really here. The seasons always seems to fly by, but this one in particular seemed lightning quick. Anywho, we have a lovely 13 game Main slate on deck for tonight with a handful of intriguing pitching options.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/28/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
Gerrit Cole - SP, at BAL ($12,800) The Astros and Orioles were rained out on Thursday so we have the luxury of having Gerrit Cole's ace arm added to this slate. I love him for all the same reasons I did yesterday - the price is a little steep, but the way he's been pitching and the cupcake matchup certainly warrant the high salary. This Orioles team is punch-less and strike out happy, which helps to elevate Cole's floor and ceiling projections. Their projected lineup has a massive 27% K rate against right-handed pitching this season, paired with a .288 wOBA. It isn't too surprising to see Baltimore has the second lowest implied run total at 3.2 runs. He makes for a strong play in cash game formats and in tournaments.
We have a small six-game slate tonight, where there is a clear top pitching option available. If you want to get up to his price you will need to find the value out there, which is limited by the lack of teams in action.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/27/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
Gerrit Cole – P, HOU @ BAL (FD - $11,400) Cole is facing off against the Orioles tonight, who come in with a 23.5% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitchers this season, along with a team wOBA sitting at .305. Cole is by far the best pitcher on the slate, but he is also the most expensive, so you will have to find the value out there on what is a smaller slate. He has eight or more strikeouts in four straight starts.
Trevor Williams – P, PIT @ CHC (FD - $9,600) Williams and the Pirates have a chance to play spoiler against the Cubs, who badly need to be winning games. Williams has faced the Cubs two times this season, coming away with nine strikeouts in 13 innings pitched, while only allowing two earned runs. He has posted six or more strikeouts in four of his last five starts and allowing a total of four earned runs in that same span
I can't believe our beloved regular season is coming to a close. Soon we'll be seeing ALCS and NLCS schedules with two-to-three games and we'll long for the double-digit game slates - so cherish them these last few days. We've got a healthy 12 game slate on deck for this evening, with a handful of good pitching options to choose from.
Nothing too crazy sticking out with the early Vegas lines, but I'll call out some notable favorites and the top implied run totals, which are helpful for cash games and tournaments, too. The biggest favorites of the night are the Rockies (-185), the Angels (-177), Cubs (-170), Mets (-164) and the Giants at -145. As for implied run totals, the Rockies are at the top of that list as well with a lofty 6.2 projection, followed by a steep drop down to the Angels (4.9), Twins (4.6), Phillies (4.5) and the Cardinals and Athletics both at 4.4.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/26/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
Jacob deGrom - SP, vs ATL ($12,300) It's the final start of the season for Cy Young hopeful deGrom - think he might be a little motivated to pitch lights out tonight against the Braves? Vegas certainly seems to think so, as the Braves have the lowest implied run total of the night at 3.1 and the Mets, who began as favorites, have already seen the moneyline move in their favor. By just about every measure, deGrom has been fantastic this season, posting a 0.9 WHIP, 0.4 HR/9 and a 11.5 K/9. He's facing a solid offense, but one that might be filled with more backups than regulars tonight as the Braves have already clinched the NL East crown. Their projected lineup gives deGrom a better strikeout projection than normal against Atlanta, as they usually hover around the 20% K rate mark, but that number sits at 24.5% today. Additionally, his batted ball profile over his last three starts has been tremendous, highlighted by a 16% hard hit rate allowed and a 9% line drive rate.
Jake Odorizzi - SP, vs DET ($7,700) With Odorizzi's recent improved pitching performance in mind, he profiles as a cash-saving, upside play in tournaments tonight. He's greatly surpassed salary expectations in his last two starts, and in that stretch, he's generating more swings and misses and his average velocity is up over a mile per hour as well. He's pitching at home in Minnesota which profiles well for a pitcher like him, and the matchup is good if not great, too. This Detroit lineup is one he handled with ease just two weeks ago, and their projected lineup doesn't strike much fear. They've got a 26% K rate against righties this season to go with a lowly .292 wOBA. The trust in Odorizzi isn't quite there for me in cash game formats - especially when you have elite floor+ceiling guys on the slate like deGrom - but the upside and big possible ROI makes him an enticing GPP option.
We have another massive Tuesday slate as the MLB season comes to an end. There are 15 games tonight, but only 14 on the "main slate," starting at 7 PM EST. Those are the games we'll be choosing from, as that slate features significantly better contests on FanDuel.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/25/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
Walker Buehler - P, at ARI ($10,100) Buehler has been playing at an elite level over his last 10 starts, posting a 3-2 record with a 1.58 ERA over that span. He has also scored 40+ fantasy points in eight of those 10 games, as well. He gets a solid matchup against the Arizona Diamondbacks, who Buehler found success against earlier this season. He's also a -209 favorite in a game set at only eight runs.
Touki Toussaint - P, at NYM ($6,400) Toussaint has only thrown in five games this season, but he has found some success. In those games, he has recorded a 2-1 record with a 4.30 ERA. Toussaint has scored between 23 and 41 fantasy points in four of those games. He gets an elite matchup against the New York Mets, and this game is set at only seven runs. While Toussaint is an underdog, New York only feature an implied run total of 3.9 runs.
Baseball season is winding down, but we're still here to help you churn out some cashing lineups. Though lineups and probable pitchers are a nightmare to follow at this stage, I will be targeting the Phillies-Rockies matchup at Coors Field tonight. While Coors isn't playing as the hitter's haven it has in the past, both pitchers slated to pitch have allowed over 1.5 HR/9 in the second half of the season.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/24/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
David Price - SP, vs. BAL ($9,400) When he hasn’t been at Yankee Stadium, David Price has pitched very well this season. With a matchup at home against the woeful Orioles, he’s a viable cash game option. While the Orioles don’t strike out at an exceptionally high rate, they pack little punch as they have posted a .151 ISO in the second-half of the season. Meanwhile, Price has put up 40 or more FD points in seven of his last 10 starts.
Note:Cole Hamels has replaced Mike Montgomery as Monday's starter. He's worthy of rostering, and checks in $900 cheaper than David Price. Another option to consider is Derek Holland, who checks in at $8,200.
We have a small three-game slate which starts at 4 pm and then the nine-game slate which starts at 7 pm. There are plenty of options on the slates you want to be paying up for and have some interesting matchups as we move closer to the end of the season.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/22/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
Justin Verlander - P, HOU vs LAA (FD - $12,200) Verlander has been super consistent as of late with three or fewer earned runs in five straight starts while adding eight or more strikeouts in four of those starts. He is up against the Angels, who are simply just a bad team. They come in with an average 21% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitcher this season, but Verlander has posted 44 strikeouts in 33 innings vs the Angels this season.
Mike Foltynewicz - P, ATL vs PHI (FD - $9,400) Folty is up against the Phillies, who come in with a 25% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitchers this season, which is third worst in the league. He allowed two or fewer earned runs in seven of his last nine starts. He does have two duds in those nine starts, with four and six earned runs, so not as safe as Verlander but the strikeout upside is there in this matchup.
Fri, 21 Sep 2018 (by Scott Chu, @Chuseph_Esquire, Chuseph@gmail.com)
Keep an eye on the forecast on the east coast, though most games look like they’re relatively safe at this time.
Jacob DeGrom is always worthy of consideration, and he's the best starter going tonight. He has double-digit strikeouts in 5 of his last 8 starts and has pitched at least 6 innings in all but 2 starts this season -- his debut on March 31 (5.2 IP) and his return from the DL (1 IP). 9 of his last 13 starts have been at least 7 IP, with 6 of those 9 being 8+ IP. The Nationals have one of the lowest strikeout rates in the league against righties, but their overall offense is only slightly above average. In a 50/50, I'd be doing whatever I could to lock in DeGrom.
I'd like to briefly mention that Chris Sale is not an advisable option tonight due to the severe pitch count limit he is likely to face after firing just 42 bullets against the Mets in his last start.
Rich Hill is tonight's "who faces the Padres" sweepstakes winner. He only averages about 5.1 IP per start, so you really have to bank on a win and plenty of strikeouts for Hill, especially if he gives up a few runs. Thankfully, the Padres have the 5th highest strikeout rate against lefties, the 8th lowest walk rate, and the 9th lowest wOBA. They're also featuring starter Eric Lauer and his 4.74 ERA. That's a pretty good combination for Hill to succeed. It's POSSIBLE that it blows up a little -- the Padres have the 10th highest ISO and Hill is struggling a bit with the gopher ball this season -- but the potential for a 6 IP outing with 1-2 ER and 8+ Ks is enticing enough to make him a high-end option tonight.
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Want to see the rest? Head on over to Friends with Fantasy Benefits for the rest of this article (featuring many more DFS considerations for tonight) and many other fine Fantasy Sports articles.
Scott has written about fantasy baseball for over 5 years, creating content for DailyBaseballData.com, Friends With Fantasy Benefits, and Pitcher List. As a lifelong resident of the Michigan (aka the Dirty Mitten), he usually cheers for the Tigers, Spartans, and any fellow ginger who somehow beat the odds and became an athlete.
We have a smaller seven-game slate, where there is one clear top pitching option that you want to pay up for. This leaves plenty of space in tournaments if you choose to pay down since you will have extra salary available.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/20/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
Max Scherzer - P, WAS vs NYM (FD - $12,000) Scherzer is the best pitcher on the slate and you want him in any lineup you can fit him in. He is up against the Mets, who come in with 21.7% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitcher this season. Scherzer has 10 or more strikeouts in three of his last four starts but has given up three earned runs or more in four straight games. Despite those struggles, really like him in all formats tonight.
Kevin Gausman - P, ATL vs PHI (FD - $8,000) Gausman is up against the Phillies tonight, who come in with a 24.9% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitchers this season, which is third worst in the league. Gausman has also had his struggles as of late, with seven earned runs in last seven games. Gausman isn't a big strikeout pitcher, but the Phillies are struggling right now and I like him for a solid point per dollar play tonight.
As is the case most Wednesdays, we have games that are broken down into two slates. There is a smaller early slate with a 10 game late (main) slate. The larger later slate is the one we will be focusing on here.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/19/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
DraftKings Starting Pitchers
Walker Buehler - P, vs COL ($11,300) Buehler has caught fire over his last 10 starts, recording a 3-3 record with a 2.35 ERA over that span. He has also scored 27+ fantasy points in four of his last six starts. Buehler has been a significantly better option in Los Angeles, and he gets a matchup against the Colorado Rockies, who have struggled at times on the road this season. Buehler is a -204 favorite in a game set at 7.5 runs tonight, as well.
Robbie Erlin - P, vs SF ($4,600) Erlin has struggled quite a bit this season, but he ha found success in San Diego. Through 18 home games (four starts), he owns an 0-3 record with a 2.80 ERA. He's coming off of an 18.4 fantasy point performance against the Texas Rangers, and he gets a solid matchup against the San Francisco Giants tonight. Erlin is also a -142 favorite in a game set at 7.5 runs, and he barely needs any fantasy points to his value at his current price tag.
We have a monster 14-game slate to break down today, and there are some great options across the board. There are a few high-priced pitchers on the slate you should be looking to pay up for, along with plenty of bats you want to jam into your lineups.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/18/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
DraftKings Starting Pitchers
Corey Kluber - P, CLE vs CWS (DK - $10,600) Kluber is facing off against the White Sox, who come in with a 25.4% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitchers this season, which is second worst in the entire league. Kluber has allowed one or no earned runs in two of his last four starts but allowed four or more earned runs in the other two starts. A slight bit of inconsistency from him, but putting up eight or more strikeouts in two of his last four starts is the level you want to be chasing tonight.
Blake Snell - P, TB @ TEX (DK - $12,100) Snell is a flat out CY Young candidate this season and makes a great tournament play tonight. He has a negative park shift for him, but he is up against the Rangers, who have a 23% strikeout rate vs left-handed pitchers this season. Snell has nine strikeouts in three straight starts while allowing a total of four earned runs.
Welcome to Week 25 of the Cut List. This week I’m taking a look at Adam Jones, Carlos Gonzalez, Odubel Herrera, and Starlin Castro.
All four players should be cut in most standard shallow formats. We’re in the thick of the fantasy playoff season and we need to own players who are actually producing results. These four players are not.
Why you should cut him: Jones isn’t producing on the worst team in baseball, so there’s little-to-reason for him to be owned in the final weeks of the season. Playoff fantasy baseball comes down to who’s riding hot streaks and who’s not. You want to be quick on the draw when it comes to acquiring surging players and dropping slumping ones. On top of his low ceiling output at this time of year, the Orioles have been benching Jones in favor of their younger player lately. Look elsewhere if you still own him.
Why you should cut him: Since July, Gonzalez has only hit two home runs and 12 RBI. For whatever reason he’s still owned in 55% of ESPN leagues, but that number is shrinking by the day. If you’re still holding on, please let him loose and add a better player. There should be plenty better options available in your league. I like Ben Zobrist as a replacement option, assuming he might be available in a standard league.
We have a four-game early slate which starts at 3 pm est and then an eight-game slate which starts at 7 pm est. There are plenty of good options across the board, we have high priced pitchers to look at, along with Coors Field in play.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/15/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.
FanDuel DFS Pitchers
German Marquez - P, COL @ SFG (FD - $10,600) Marquez is the most expensive pitcher on the entire slate and has been amazing as of late. He comes in with nine or more strikeouts in four straight starts, while allowing a total of five earned runs in that span. He is getting a massive positive park shift being away from Coors Field and now in San Francisco, which is a great pitcher's park. Up against the Giants, who have a .295 team wOBA vs right-handed pitchers this season, which is fourth worst in the league.
Mike Clevinger - P, CLE vs DET (FD - $10,400) Clevinger comes in with eight or more strikeouts in four straight starts, with only seven earned runs in his last four starts. He is just half a step behind Marquez in terms of his production, but still just as good of an option. He is up against the Tigers who have a 23% strikeout rate vs right-handed pitchers and a low .140 team ISO vs righties. Great option for cash or GPPs tonight.